Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-09-19 16:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
18%
2
17%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arminia Bielefeld (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 39%
24% +2.5 11%
18% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 6%
71% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.28 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
18%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 1 - 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
Sep 2025 Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
May 2023 Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Draw
Oct 2022 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 0 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
Jan 2022 Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — winless run (away)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)65%
Draw (X)18%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 67%
53% +1.5 39%
24% +2.5 11%
18% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 33%
47% -1.5 61%
76% -2.5 89%
82% -3.5 94%
88% -4.5 94%

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (away)1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals3.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arminia Bielefeld
4 8 10 10 11
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

For2.0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arminia Bielefeld

Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld

J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

51.88% Possession 48.22%

Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

76.06% Pass accuracy 78.69%
398.97 Passes per match 397.89
-0.17 Goals prevented 0.08
12.88 Fouls committed 11.33
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
2.15 Offsides 1.74
15.35 Tackles per match 15.75

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction analysis

Review Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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