What markets are included in the Arouca vs AVS prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs AVS prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs AVS

Arouca vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-10-05 17:00

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

AVS

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

24%

27%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WDDLW

AVS

DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%

12% +1.5 11%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arouca averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

24%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Arouca(A) 1 - 0 AVS Home

Aug 2025 Arouca 3 - 1 AVS Home

Mar 2025 Arouca(A) 1 - 0 AVS Home

Oct 2024 Arouca 1 - 1 AVS Draw

Sep 2023 Arouca(A) 2 - 1 AVS Home

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)3

Arouca — scoring streak (home)1

AVS — winless run (away)1

AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)49%

Draw (X)24%

AVS Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%

12% +1.5 11%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%

88% -1.5 89%

94% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Arouca vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)0.94

Arouca — conceded (home)1.12

AVS — scored (away)0.78

AVS — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)47%

AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

AVS

9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For2.4

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)11.6

AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)3.8

AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

AVS

Inside the box6.03

Outside the box4.17

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Zé Luís

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

B. Akinsola

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vasco Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target8%

Nenê

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1.15

AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

52.59% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison Arouca vs AVS

80.94% Pass accuracy 76.78%

421.68 Passes per match 347.36

-0.03 Goals prevented -0.09

14.65 Fouls committed 14.08

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.65

1.88 Offsides 1.5

16.32 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights