What markets are included in the Arouca vs Boavista prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs Boavista prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs Boavista

Arouca vs Boavista prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-17 17:00

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Boavista

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

29%

33%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Boavista (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WDDLW

Boavista

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 59%

12% +1.5 35%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arouca averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Boavista averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

29%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Arouca 4 - 1 Boavista Home

Jan 2025 Arouca(A) 3 - 1 Boavista Home

Apr 2024 Arouca 2 - 1 Boavista Home

Dec 2023 Arouca(A) 4 - 0 Boavista Home

Nov 2023 Arouca 2 - 2 Boavista Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)3

Arouca — scoring streak (home)1

Boavista — winless run (away)1

Boavista — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)38%

Draw (X)29%

Boavista Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 59%

12% +1.5 35%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 41%

88% -1.5 65%

94% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Arouca vs Boavista — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)0.94

Arouca — conceded (home)1.12

Boavista — scored (away)0.94

Boavista — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.16

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)47%

Boavista — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Boavista (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

Boavista

8 8 9 4 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For2.4

Boavista (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)11.6

Boavista — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)3.8

Boavista — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

Boavista

Inside the box6.09

Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

R. Boženík

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target24%

Joel da Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Diaby

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target8%

Miguel Reisinho

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1.15

Boavista xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

52.59% Possession 39.79%

Team Comparison Arouca vs Boavista

80.94% Pass accuracy 73.29%

421.68 Passes per match 315.88

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.24

14.65 Fouls committed 12.74

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.5

1.88 Offsides 2.53

16.32 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs Boavista prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs Boavista with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights