What markets are included in the Arouca vs Famalicao prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs Famalicao prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca vs Famalicao prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-10-05 14:30

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Famalicao

Away

Prediction Summary

20%

23%

57%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate59%

Famalicao (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WWDLW

Famalicao

WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 24%

35% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arouca averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while Famalicao averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

20%

Draw

23%

Away Win

57%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Arouca(A) 0 - 0 Famalicao Draw

Mar 2026 Arouca(A) 0 - 1 Famalicao Away

Oct 2025 Arouca 1 - 1 Famalicao Draw

Apr 2025 Arouca 1 - 2 Famalicao Away

Nov 2024 Arouca(A) 0 - 0 Famalicao Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)4

Arouca — scoring streak (home)10

Famalicao — winless run (away)1

Famalicao — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)20%

Draw (X)23%

Famalicao Win (2)57%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 24%

35% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 35%

53% -1.5 76%

65% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Arouca vs Famalicao — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)1.59

Arouca — conceded (home)1.76

Famalicao — scored (away)0.88

Famalicao — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)59%

Famalicao — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.9

Famalicao (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

7 9 11 8 11

Famalicao

7 13 10 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For3.4

Famalicao (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)10.8

Famalicao — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)4.2

Famalicao — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.15

Outside the box4.53

Famalicao

Inside the box8.41

Outside the box4

Player Shots Arouca

Barbero

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Trezza

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Djouahra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target9%

Lee Hyun-Ju

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target3%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Famalicao

M. Zabiri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Sorriso

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target15%

S. Elisor

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target15%

Gil Dias

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target3%

Gustavo Sá

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1

Famalicao xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

50.21% Possession 51.35%

Team Comparison Arouca vs Famalicao

81.91% Pass accuracy 81.65%

413.24 Passes per match 402.94

-0.24 Goals prevented -0

13.82 Fouls committed 15.79

2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

1.48 Offsides 1.15

14.26 Tackles per match 17.41

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs Famalicao prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs Famalicao with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights