What markets are included in the Arouca vs Farense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs Farense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs Farense

Arouca vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-23 15:30

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

26%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Farense

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

33%

30%

Under 2.5

74%

BTTS No

66%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WDDLW

Farense

LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 59%

12% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Arouca averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

33%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

26%

BTTS Yes

34%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Arouca 2 - 2 Farense Draw

Nov 2024 Arouca 1 - 2 Farense Away

Sep 2024 Arouca(A) 1 - 0 Farense Home

Mar 2024 Arouca 2 - 1 Farense Home

Nov 2023 Arouca(A) 0 - 2 Farense Away

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)3

Arouca — scoring streak (home)1

Farense — winless run (away)0

Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)37%

Draw (X)33%

Farense Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 59%

12% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 41%

88% -1.5 71%

94% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Arouca vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)0.94

Arouca — conceded (home)1.12

Farense — scored (away)0.88

Farense — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals1.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%

No66%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)47%

Farense — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.585%

Under 7.515%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Farense (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

Farense

8 5 14 19 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For2.4

Farense (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)11.6

Farense — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)3.8

Farense — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

Farense

Inside the box6.65

Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Farense

Y. Njie

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

M. Belloumi

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target67%

Rony Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

Darío Poveda

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target5%

Tómané

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1.15

Farense xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

52.59% Possession 40.79%

Team Comparison Arouca vs Farense

80.94% Pass accuracy 71.71%

421.68 Passes per match 293.85

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.28

14.65 Fouls committed 15.21

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.09

1.88 Offsides 1.97

16.32 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs Farense prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights