What markets are included in the Arouca vs GIL Vicente prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs GIL Vicente prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs GIL Vicente

Arouca vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-28 15:30

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

GIL Vicente

Away

Prediction Summary

16%

24%

60%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate59%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WWDLW

GIL Vicente

LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 35%

35% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arouca averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

16%

Draw

24%

Away Win

60%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Arouca(A) 3 - 1 GIL Vicente Home

Dec 2025 Arouca 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Draw

May 2025 Arouca(A) 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

Dec 2024 Arouca 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw

Apr 2024 Arouca(A) 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)4

Arouca — scoring streak (home)10

GIL Vicente — winless run (away)6

GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)16%

Draw (X)24%

GIL Vicente Win (2)60%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 65%

47% +1.5 35%

35% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 35%

53% -1.5 65%

65% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Arouca vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)1.59

Arouca — conceded (home)1.76

GIL Vicente — scored (away)1.12

GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals2.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)59%

GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.9

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

7 9 11 8 11

GIL Vicente

13 7 16 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For3.4

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)10.8

GIL Vicente — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)4.2

GIL Vicente — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.15

Outside the box4.53

GIL Vicente

Inside the box7.88

Outside the box5.91

Player Shots Arouca

Barbero

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Trezza

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Djouahra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target9%

Lee Hyun-Ju

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target3%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

Murilo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target22%

Pablo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target15%

Gustavo Varela

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Luís Esteves

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target9%

Santi García

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1

GIL Vicente xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

50.21% Possession 49.79%

Team Comparison Arouca vs GIL Vicente

81.91% Pass accuracy 80.24%

413.24 Passes per match 374.15

-0.24 Goals prevented -0.13

13.82 Fouls committed 13.53

2.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.48 Offsides 1.44

14.26 Tackles per match 14.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights