What markets are included in the Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs Santa Clara

Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-12-15 15:30

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Santa Clara

Away

Prediction Summary

24%

27%

49%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Santa Clara (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WDDLW

Santa Clara

WWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%

12% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arouca averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Santa Clara averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

24%

Draw

27%

Away Win

49%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Arouca(A) 0 - 3 Santa Clara Away

May 2026 Arouca 2 - 2 Santa Clara Draw

Dec 2025 Arouca(A) 0 - 0 Santa Clara Draw

Apr 2025 Arouca(A) 0 - 2 Santa Clara Away

Dec 2024 Arouca 1 - 0 Santa Clara Home

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)3

Arouca — scoring streak (home)1

Santa Clara — winless run (away)0

Santa Clara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)24%

Draw (X)27%

Santa Clara Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%

12% +1.5 29%

6% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%

88% -1.5 71%

94% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Arouca vs Santa Clara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)0.94

Arouca — conceded (home)1.12

Santa Clara — scored (away)1.06

Santa Clara — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)47%

Santa Clara — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Santa Clara (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

Santa Clara

10 8 8 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For2.4

Santa Clara (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)11.6

Santa Clara — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)3.8

Santa Clara — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.97

Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Santa Clara

Wendel

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Serginho

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target3%

Ricardinho

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target11%

Gabriel Silva

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target12%

Vinícius Lopes

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1.15

Santa Clara xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

52.59% Possession 44.47%

Team Comparison Arouca vs Santa Clara

80.94% Pass accuracy 74.5%

421.68 Passes per match 340

-0.03 Goals prevented 0.13

14.65 Fouls committed 16.62

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 2.48

1.88 Offsides 1.97

16.32 Tackles per match 16.29

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs Santa Clara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights