What markets are included in the Arouca vs Sporting CP prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Arouca vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Arouca vs Sporting CP

Arouca vs Sporting CP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2024-09-13 19:15

Arouca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Sporting CP

Away

Prediction Summary

16%

21%

63%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Arouca (Home)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Sporting CP (Away)

Goals scored / match2.82

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate65%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arouca

WDDLW

Sporting CP

WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 94%

12% +1.5 71%

6% +2.5 65%

6% +3.5 29%

0% +4.5 18%

47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arouca averages 0.94 goals scored at home, while Sporting CP averages 2.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

16%

Draw

21%

Away Win

63%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting CP Away

Aug 2025 Arouca(A) 0 - 6 Sporting CP Away

Feb 2025 Arouca(A) 2 - 2 Sporting CP Draw

Sep 2024 Arouca 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

Mar 2024 Arouca 0 - 3 Sporting CP Away

In the last 5 meetings, Arouca won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Arouca — unbeaten run (home)3

Arouca — scoring streak (home)1

Sporting CP — winless run (away)1

Sporting CP — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arouca Win (1)16%

Draw (X)21%

Sporting CP Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 94%

12% +1.5 71%

6% +2.5 65%

6% +3.5 29%

0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 6%

88% -1.5 29%

94% -2.5 35%

94% -3.5 71%

100% -4.5 82%

Arouca vs Sporting CP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arouca — scored (home)0.94

Arouca — conceded (home)1.12

Sporting CP — scored (away)2.82

Sporting CP — conceded (away)0.82

Model expected combined goals2.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Arouca — BTTS matches (home)47%

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arouca (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Sporting CP (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arouca

8 8 5 5 13

Sporting CP

6 8 11 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Arouca (home)

For2.4

Sporting CP (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Arouca — total shots (home)11.6

Sporting CP — total shots (away)17.8

Shots on Target

Arouca — on target (home)3.8

Sporting CP — on target (away)6.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arouca

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box5.21

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56

Outside the box5.79

Player Shots Arouca

V. Morozov

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Nandín

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Ivo Rodrigues

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

Jason

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target16%

Pablo Gozálbez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres

Shots on Target/Game2.8

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target70%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target29%

M. Hjulmand

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target4%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca xG (home)1.15

Sporting CP xG (away)2.14

Average Possession

52.59% Possession 60.44%

Team Comparison Arouca vs Sporting CP

80.94% Pass accuracy 87.03%

421.68 Passes per match 520.47

-0.03 Goals prevented -0.26

14.65 Fouls committed 11.5

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 1.41

1.88 Offsides 1.16

16.32 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arouca vs Sporting CP prediction analysis

Review Arouca vs Sporting CP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights