Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arsenal vs Coventry

Arsenal vs Coventry prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-08-21 19:00
Arsenal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Coventry
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
22%
2
18%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arsenal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.16
Goals conceded / match0.58
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Coventry (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arsenal
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 0%
68% +1.5 0%
32% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arsenal averages 2.16 goals scored at home, while Coventry averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
22%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Arsenal — unbeaten run (home)3
Arsenal — scoring streak (home)8

1X2 Probability model

Arsenal Win (1)60%
Draw (X)22%
Coventry Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 0%
68% +1.5 0%
32% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 100%
32% -1.5 100%
68% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Arsenal vs Coventry — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arsenal — scored (home)2.16
Arsenal — conceded (home)0.58
Coventry — scored (away)0
Coventry — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Arsenal — BTTS matches (home)42%
Coventry — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arsenal (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against2.8

Coventry (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arsenal
9 7 7 6 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.545%
Under 0.555%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.529%
Under 2.571%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Arsenal (home)

For1.0

Coventry (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.10

Arsenal

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots15.02
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.01

Coventry

Shots Over 9.551%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.09
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.41

Shots per Game

Arsenal — total shots (home)16.1
Coventry — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Arsenal — on target (home)5.0
Coventry — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arsenal

Inside the box10.66
Outside the box3.87

Coventry

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Arsenal

B. Saka
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gabriel Jesus
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Trossard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Coventry

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal xG (home)1.72
Coventry xG (away)-

Average Possession

56.16% Possession -%

Team Comparison Arsenal vs Coventry

83.76% Pass accuracy 0%
470.92 Passes per match -
-0.17 Goals prevented -
10.29 Fouls committed -
1.63 Goalkeeper saves -
1.85 Offsides -
15.84 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arsenal vs Coventry prediction analysis

Review Arsenal vs Coventry with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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