Prediction Analysis: Arsenal vs Coventry
Arsenal vs Coventry prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Arsenal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Arsenal
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0

Coventry
Away
Prediction Summary
1
60%
X
22%
2
18%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Arsenal (Home)
Goals scored / match2.16
Goals conceded / match0.58
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%
Coventry (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Arsenal
WWWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
0%
68%
+1.5
0%
32%
+2.5
0%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
42%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Arsenal averages 2.16 goals scored at home, while Coventry averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
60%
Draw
22%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
Arsenal — unbeaten run (home)3
Arsenal — scoring streak (home)8
1X2 Probability model
Arsenal Win (1)60%
Draw (X)22%
Coventry Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
0%
68%
+1.5
0%
32%
+2.5
0%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
100%
32%
-1.5
100%
68%
-2.5
100%
84%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Arsenal vs Coventry — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Arsenal — scored (home)2.16
Arsenal — conceded (home)0.58
Coventry — scored (away)0
Coventry — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.74
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Arsenal — BTTS matches (home)42%
Coventry — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)21%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Arsenal (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against2.8
Coventry (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Arsenal
9
7
7
6
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.545%
Under 0.555%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.529%
Under 2.571%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Arsenal (home)
For1.0
Coventry (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.10
Arsenal
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots15.02
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.01
Coventry
Shots Over 9.551%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.09
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.41
Shots per Game
Arsenal — total shots (home)16.1
Coventry — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Arsenal — on target (home)5.0
Coventry — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Arsenal
Inside the box10.66
Outside the box3.87
Coventry
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Arsenal
B. Saka
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gabriel Jesus
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Trossard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots Coventry
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal xG (home)1.72
Coventry xG (away)-
Average Possession
56.16%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Arsenal vs Coventry
83.76%
Pass accuracy
0%
470.92
Passes per match
-
-0.17
Goals prevented
-
10.29
Fouls committed
-
1.63
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.85
Offsides
-
15.84
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Arsenal vs Coventry prediction analysis
Review Arsenal vs Coventry with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights