Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb

Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Champions League 2025-01-22 20:00
Arsenal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
20%
2
20%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arsenal (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.43
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate14%

Dinamo Zagreb (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arsenal
LLWWD
Dinamo Zagreb
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 80%
71% +1.5 80%
43% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%
14% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arsenal averages 2 goals scored at home, while Dinamo Zagreb averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
20%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 Arsenal 3 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb Home

In the last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Arsenal — unbeaten run (home)0
Arsenal — scoring streak (home)0
Dinamo Zagreb — winless run (away)1
Dinamo Zagreb — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arsenal Win (1)60%
Draw (X)20%
Dinamo Zagreb Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 80%
71% +1.5 80%
43% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 20%
29% -1.5 20%
57% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 80%
100% -4.5 100%

Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arsenal — scored (home)2
Arsenal — conceded (home)0.43
Dinamo Zagreb — scored (away)2
Dinamo Zagreb — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Arsenal — BTTS matches (home)14%
Dinamo Zagreb — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)27%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arsenal (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against2.9

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against9.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arsenal
9 8 14 4 8
Dinamo Zagreb
14 11 14 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Arsenal (home)

For1.9

Dinamo Zagreb (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Arsenal — total shots (home)11.9
Dinamo Zagreb — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Arsenal — on target (home)6.4
Dinamo Zagreb — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arsenal

Inside the box10.29
Outside the box2.79

Dinamo Zagreb

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box4.1

Player Shots Arsenal

R. Sterling
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Gabriel Jesus
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
B. Saka
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
D. Rice
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Nwaneri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%

Player Shots Dinamo Zagreb

S. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Rog
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Špikić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Pjaca
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mmaee
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal xG (home)1.92
Dinamo Zagreb xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

51% Possession 38.5%

Team Comparison Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb

85.29% Pass accuracy 78.1%
445.5 Passes per match 337
0.25 Goals prevented -0.34
11.14 Fouls committed 11.5
2.43 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.64 Offsides 1.5
14.86 Tackles per match 18.9

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction analysis

Review Arsenal vs Dinamo Zagreb with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top