Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-10-01 19:00
Arsenal
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Olympiakos Piraeus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
20%
2
11%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arsenal (Home)

Goals scored / match2.14
Goals conceded / match0.43
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate29%

Olympiakos Piraeus (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arsenal
DWDDW
Olympiakos Piraeus
DLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 60%
71% +1.5 20%
43% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arsenal averages 2.14 goals scored at home, while Olympiakos Piraeus averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
20%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Arsenal 2 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus Home
Mar 2021 Arsenal 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus Away
Mar 2021 Arsenal(A) 3 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus Home
Feb 2020 Arsenal 1 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus Away
Feb 2020 Arsenal(A) 1 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus Home

In the last 5 meetings, Arsenal won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Arsenal — unbeaten run (home)7
Arsenal — scoring streak (home)1
Olympiakos Piraeus — winless run (away)1
Olympiakos Piraeus — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arsenal Win (1)70%
Draw (X)20%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 60%
71% +1.5 20%
43% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 40%
29% -1.5 80%
57% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arsenal — scored (home)2.14
Arsenal — conceded (home)0.43
Olympiakos Piraeus — scored (away)0.8
Olympiakos Piraeus — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Arsenal — BTTS matches (home)29%
Olympiakos Piraeus — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.522%
Under 9.578%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arsenal (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Olympiakos Piraeus (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arsenal
7 11 7 7 14
Olympiakos Piraeus
9 10 9 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.576%
Under 1.524%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Arsenal (home)

For1.1

Olympiakos Piraeus (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Arsenal — total shots (home)17.4
Olympiakos Piraeus — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Arsenal — on target (home)6.7
Olympiakos Piraeus — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arsenal

Inside the box10.4
Outside the box4.07

Olympiakos Piraeus

Inside the box7.2
Outside the box5.4

Player Shots Arsenal

B. Saka
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target27%
V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Nwaneri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Gabriel Jesus
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
N. Madueke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target30%

Player Shots Olympiakos Piraeus

A. El Kaabi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Gelson Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Chiquinho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target30%
Daniel Podence
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Taremi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal xG (home)1.96
Olympiakos Piraeus xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

51.13% Possession 42.9%

Team Comparison Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus

84.33% Pass accuracy 75.8%
442.93 Passes per match 379.9
0.24 Goals prevented -0.26
11.2 Fouls committed 11.1
2.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.1
1.47 Offsides 2.5
13.13 Tackles per match 15.8

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction analysis

Review Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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