What markets are included in the AS Roma vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AS Roma vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs AC Milan

AS Roma vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-18 18:45

AS Roma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

25%

29%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate47%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma

WWLWW

AC Milan

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 95%

53% +1.5 47%

32% +2.5 16%

16% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

AS Roma averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

25%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 AS Roma 1 - 1 AC Milan Draw

Nov 2025 AS Roma(A) 0 - 1 AC Milan Away

May 2025 AS Roma 3 - 1 AC Milan Home

Feb 2025 AS Roma(A) 1 - 3 AC Milan Away

Dec 2024 AS Roma(A) 1 - 1 AC Milan Draw

In the last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12

AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12

AC Milan — winless run (away)1

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)46%

Draw (X)25%

AC Milan Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 95%

53% +1.5 47%

32% +2.5 16%

16% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 5%

47% -1.5 53%

68% -2.5 84%

84% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

AS Roma vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.95

AS Roma — conceded (home)0.79

AC Milan — scored (away)1.63

AC Milan — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)47%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.532%

Under 9.568%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against3.5

AC Milan (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma

7 11 15 6 3

AC Milan

9 15 7 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.566%

Under 2.534%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.5

AC Milan (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)14.5

AC Milan — total shots (away)14.0

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)4.8

AC Milan — on target (away)5.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box4.92

AC Milan

Inside the box9.55

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots AS Roma

P. Dybala

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Dovbyk

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. Shomurodov

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Saelemaekers

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. El Shaarawy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots AC Milan

I. Bennacer

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Emerson Royal

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target6%

João Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target16%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.41

AC Milan xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

53.95% Possession 54.08%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs AC Milan

85.29% Pass accuracy 87.21%

492.47 Passes per match 465.32

-0.13 Goals prevented -0.26

10.66 Fouls committed 10.92

3.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.69 Offsides 1.67

14.5 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights