Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Como

AS Roma vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-15 19:45
AS Roma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Como
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
31%
2
29%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate26%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma
WWWWW
Como
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%
58% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%
26% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

AS Roma averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
31%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 AS Roma(A) 1 - 2 Como Away
Dec 2025 AS Roma 1 - 0 Como Home
Mar 2025 AS Roma 2 - 1 Como Home
Dec 2024 AS Roma(A) 0 - 2 Como Away

In the last 4 meetings, AS Roma won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12
AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12
Como — winless run (away)0
Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)40%
Draw (X)31%
Como Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%
58% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%
42% -1.5 53%
74% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 95%

AS Roma vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.74
AS Roma — conceded (home)0.53
Como — scored (away)1.58
Como — conceded (away)0.74
Model expected combined goals1.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)26%
Como — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against2.8

Como (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma
14 9 9 11 12
Como
5 5 14 17 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.6

Como (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)15.3
Como — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)5.2
Como — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box3.5

Como

Inside the box9.53
Outside the box4.92

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
E. Ferguson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Soulé
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Como

N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
T. Douvikas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target21%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. da Cunha
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.45
Como xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

56.29% Possession 61.61%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Como

83.32% Pass accuracy 87.05%
487.97 Passes per match 527.13
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.09
13.76 Fouls committed 13.29
2.82 Goalkeeper saves 2.32
1.68 Offsides 1.23
15.11 Tackles per match 16.42

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Como prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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