Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Dynamo Kyiv

AS Roma vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-24 16:45
AS Roma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Dynamo Kyiv
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
19%
2
11%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%

Dynamo Kyiv (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma
LWWDW
Dynamo Kyiv
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 25%
67% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is High.

AS Roma averages 2 goals scored at home, while Dynamo Kyiv averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
19%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 AS Roma 1 - 0 Dynamo Kyiv Home

In the last 1 meetings, AS Roma won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)6
AS Roma — scoring streak (home)6
Dynamo Kyiv — winless run (away)4
Dynamo Kyiv — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)70%
Draw (X)19%
Dynamo Kyiv Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 25%
67% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 75%
33% -1.5 75%
67% -2.5 75%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AS Roma vs Dynamo Kyiv — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)2
AS Roma — conceded (home)0.67
Dynamo Kyiv — scored (away)0.75
Dynamo Kyiv — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)50%
Dynamo Kyiv — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.563%
Under 10.537%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against4.0

Dynamo Kyiv (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma
7 10 7 4 11
Dynamo Kyiv
16 9 7 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.3

Dynamo Kyiv (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)17.0
Dynamo Kyiv — total shots (away)6.5

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)6.5
Dynamo Kyiv — on target (away)1.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box10.58
Outside the box4.83

Dynamo Kyiv

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box3.38

Player Shots AS Roma

S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Saud Abdulhamid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Ndicka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Dynamo Kyiv

V. Kabaev
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
V. Brazhko
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
O. Pikhalyonok
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Yarmolenko
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target33%
V. Buyalskyi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.65
Dynamo Kyiv xG (away)0.58

Average Possession

54.75% Possession 51.13%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Dynamo Kyiv

84.92% Pass accuracy 82.63%
527 Passes per match 472.75
0.05 Goals prevented 0.28
10 Fouls committed 10.38
2.33 Goalkeeper saves 5
2.92 Offsides 1.88
16.75 Tackles per match 15.5

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Dynamo Kyiv with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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