Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Hellas Verona

AS Roma vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-19 18:45
AS Roma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Hellas Verona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
23%
2
20%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma
WWLWW
Hellas Verona
WDDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 26%
32% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

AS Roma averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
23%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 AS Roma(A) 2 - 0 Hellas Verona Home
Sep 2025 AS Roma 2 - 0 Hellas Verona Home
Apr 2025 AS Roma 1 - 0 Hellas Verona Home
Nov 2024 AS Roma(A) 2 - 3 Hellas Verona Away
Jan 2024 AS Roma 2 - 1 Hellas Verona Home

In the last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12
AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12
Hellas Verona — winless run (away)0
Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)58%
Draw (X)23%
Hellas Verona Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 26%
32% +2.5 11%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
47% -1.5 74%
68% -2.5 89%
84% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

AS Roma vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.95
AS Roma — conceded (home)0.79
Hellas Verona — scored (away)1
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)47%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against3.5

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma
7 11 15 6 3
Hellas Verona
5 7 9 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.5

Hellas Verona (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)14.5
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)4.8
Hellas Verona — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.92

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots AS Roma

P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Dovbyk
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Saelemaekers
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Ghilardi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
S. Serdar
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.41
Hellas Verona xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

53.95% Possession 38.47%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Hellas Verona

85.29% Pass accuracy 74.21%
492.47 Passes per match 318.58
-0.13 Goals prevented 0.01
10.66 Fouls committed 15.24
3.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1.69 Offsides 1.57
14.5 Tackles per match 17.71

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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