What markets are included in the AS Roma vs Inter prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AS Roma vs Inter prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Inter

AS Roma vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-09-20 16:30

AS Roma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Inter

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

26%

35%

+2.5 Goals

50%

BTTS

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match0.53

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate26%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma

WWWWW

Inter

DDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 95%

58% +1.5 68%

26% +2.5 26%

5% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

26% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

AS Roma averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

26%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 AS Roma(A) 2 - 5 Inter Away

Oct 2025 AS Roma 0 - 1 Inter Away

Apr 2025 AS Roma(A) 1 - 0 Inter Home

Oct 2024 AS Roma 0 - 1 Inter Away

Feb 2024 AS Roma 2 - 4 Inter Away

In the last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12

AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12

Inter — winless run (away)1

Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)39%

Draw (X)26%

Inter Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 95%

58% +1.5 68%

26% +2.5 26%

5% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 5%

42% -1.5 32%

74% -2.5 74%

95% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 95%

AS Roma vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.74

AS Roma — conceded (home)0.53

Inter — scored (away)2.05

Inter — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)26%

Inter — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)34%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.8

Inter (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma

14 9 9 11 12

Inter

10 11 6 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.6

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%

Under 19.529%

Over 22.557%

Under 22.543%

Over 25.543%

Under 25.557%

Expected total shots24.88

AS Roma

Shots Over 9.574%

Shots Over 11.558%

Shots Over 13.543%

Expected shots13.04

On Target Over 3.557%

On Target Over 4.540%

On Target Over 5.526%

Expected on target4.16

Inter

Shots Over 9.566%

Shots Over 11.549%

Shots Over 13.533%

Expected shots11.84

On Target Over 3.556%

On Target Over 4.538%

On Target Over 5.524%

Expected on target4.08

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)15.3

Inter — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)5.2

Inter — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74

Outside the box3.5

Inter

Inside the box12.24

Outside the box4.87

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target89%

+1.5 On Target56%

E. Ferguson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

P. Dybala

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

M. Soulé

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target9%

L. Pellegrini

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target40%

M. Thuram

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target24%

H. Çalhanoğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

F. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Dimarco

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.45

Inter xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

56.29% Possession 59.76%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Inter

83.32% Pass accuracy 87.37%

487.97 Passes per match 547.45

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.25

13.76 Fouls committed 13.13

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 2.03

1.68 Offsides 1.65

15.11 Tackles per match 15.16

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Inter prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights