Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Juventus

AS Roma vs Juventus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-06 18:45
AS Roma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Juventus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
25%
2
29%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Juventus (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma
WWLWW
Juventus
WWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

AS Roma averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Juventus averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
25%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 AS Roma 3 - 3 Juventus Draw
Dec 2025 AS Roma(A) 1 - 2 Juventus Away
Apr 2025 AS Roma 1 - 1 Juventus Draw
Sep 2024 AS Roma(A) 0 - 0 Juventus Draw
May 2024 AS Roma 1 - 1 Juventus Draw

In the last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12
AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12
Juventus — winless run (away)0
Juventus — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)45%
Draw (X)25%
Juventus Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 63%
68% -2.5 79%
84% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 100%

AS Roma vs Juventus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.95
AS Roma — conceded (home)0.79
Juventus — scored (away)1.42
Juventus — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)47%
Juventus — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against3.5

Juventus (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma
7 11 15 6 3
Juventus
5 13 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.5

Juventus (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)14.5
Juventus — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)4.8
Juventus — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.92

Juventus

Inside the box9.13
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots AS Roma

P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Dovbyk
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Saelemaekers
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Juventus

N. González
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kalulu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
R. Kolo Muani
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.41
Juventus xG (away)1.35

Average Possession

53.95% Possession 57.55%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Juventus

85.29% Pass accuracy 87.29%
492.47 Passes per match 519.13
-0.13 Goals prevented -0.04
10.66 Fouls committed 12.63
3.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.24
1.69 Offsides 1.63
14.5 Tackles per match 15.89

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Juventus prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Juventus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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