Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Parma

AS Roma vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-10-29 17:30
AS Roma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
10%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Parma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
40%
2
10%
Under 2.5
90%
BTTS No
87%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate26%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match0.63
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma
WWWWW
Parma
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 53%
58% +1.5 11%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
26% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 10%. Model confidence is High.

AS Roma averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 0.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
90%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
40%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
10%
BTTS Yes
13%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 AS Roma(A) 3 - 2 Parma Home
Oct 2025 AS Roma 2 - 1 Parma Home
Feb 2025 AS Roma(A) 1 - 0 Parma Home
Dec 2024 AS Roma 5 - 0 Parma Home
Mar 2021 AS Roma(A) 0 - 2 Parma Away

In the last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12
AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12
Parma — winless run (away)2
Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)50%
Draw (X)40%
Parma Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 53%
58% +1.5 11%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 47%
42% -1.5 89%
74% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AS Roma vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.74
AS Roma — conceded (home)0.53
Parma — scored (away)0.63
Parma — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals1.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes13%
No87%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)26%
Parma — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)29%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against2.8

Parma (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma
14 9 9 11 12
Parma
11 11 9 17 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.6

Parma (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)15.3
Parma — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)5.2
Parma — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box3.5

Parma

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target89%
+1.5 On Target56%
E. Ferguson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
M. Soulé
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Parma

Mateo Pellegrino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Gabriel Strefezza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Ondrejka
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%
Adrián Bernabé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.45
Parma xG (away)0.84

Average Possession

56.29% Possession 44%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Parma

83.32% Pass accuracy 79.66%
487.97 Passes per match 361.58
-0.02 Goals prevented 0.07
13.76 Fouls committed 10.87
2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.68 Offsides 1.35
15.11 Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Parma prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top