What markets are included in the AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs Sassuolo

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-10 17:00

AS Roma

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sassuolo

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

29%

28%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.74

Goals conceded / match0.53

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate26%

Sassuolo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma

WWWWW

Sassuolo

LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

26% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

AS Roma averages 1.74 goals scored at home, while Sassuolo averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 AS Roma 2 - 0 Sassuolo Home

Oct 2025 AS Roma(A) 1 - 0 Sassuolo Home

Mar 2024 AS Roma 1 - 0 Sassuolo Home

Dec 2023 AS Roma(A) 2 - 1 Sassuolo Home

Mar 2023 AS Roma 3 - 4 Sassuolo Away

In the last 5 meetings, AS Roma won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)12

AS Roma — scoring streak (home)12

Sassuolo — winless run (away)6

Sassuolo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)43%

Draw (X)29%

Sassuolo Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%

42% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AS Roma vs Sassuolo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)1.74

AS Roma — conceded (home)0.53

Sassuolo — scored (away)1.11

Sassuolo — conceded (away)1.26

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)26%

Sassuolo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.8

Sassuolo (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma

14 9 9 11 12

Sassuolo

11 5 12 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.6

Sassuolo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)15.3

Sassuolo — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)5.2

Sassuolo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box9.74

Outside the box3.5

Sassuolo

Inside the box7

Outside the box3.66

Player Shots AS Roma

D. Malen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target89%

+1.5 On Target56%

E. Ferguson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

P. Dybala

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

M. Soulé

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target9%

L. Pellegrini

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sassuolo

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target19%

D. Berardi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Laurienté

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target16%

K. Thorstvedt

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target3%

C. Volpato

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.45

Sassuolo xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

56.29% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs Sassuolo

83.32% Pass accuracy 82.16%

487.97 Passes per match 401.45

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.01

13.76 Fouls committed 11.97

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.53

1.68 Offsides 1.89

15.11 Tackles per match 13.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs Sassuolo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights