Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AS Roma vs SC Braga

AS Roma vs SC Braga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-12-12 17:45
AS Roma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
SC Braga
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
24%
2
30%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AS Roma (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%

SC Braga (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

AS Roma
LWWDW
SC Braga
WLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 71%
67% +1.5 43%
33% +2.5 14%
0% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 14%
50% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

AS Roma averages 2 goals scored at home, while SC Braga averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
24%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2024 AS Roma 3 - 0 SC Braga Home
Feb 2021 AS Roma 3 - 1 SC Braga Home
Feb 2021 AS Roma(A) 2 - 0 SC Braga Home

In the last 3 meetings, AS Roma won 3, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AS Roma — unbeaten run (home)6
AS Roma — scoring streak (home)6
SC Braga — winless run (away)5
SC Braga — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AS Roma Win (1)46%
Draw (X)24%
SC Braga Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 71%
67% +1.5 43%
33% +2.5 14%
0% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 14%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 29%
33% -1.5 57%
67% -2.5 86%
100% -3.5 86%
100% -4.5 86%

AS Roma vs SC Braga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AS Roma — scored (home)2
AS Roma — conceded (home)0.67
SC Braga — scored (away)1.57
SC Braga — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

AS Roma — BTTS matches (home)50%
SC Braga — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.570%
Under 4.530%
Over 5.570%
Under 5.530%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

AS Roma (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against4.0

SC Braga (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AS Roma
7 10 7 4 11
SC Braga
9 10 19 3 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

AS Roma (home)

For1.3

SC Braga (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

AS Roma — total shots (home)17.0
SC Braga — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

AS Roma — on target (home)6.5
SC Braga — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AS Roma

Inside the box10.58
Outside the box4.83

SC Braga

Inside the box8.88
Outside the box4.25

Player Shots AS Roma

S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Saud Abdulhamid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Ndicka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots SC Braga

Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ricardo Horta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Ismaël Gharbi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma xG (home)1.65
SC Braga xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

54.75% Possession 52.22%

Team Comparison AS Roma vs SC Braga

84.92% Pass accuracy 80.75%
527 Passes per match 490.13
0.05 Goals prevented 0.08
10 Fouls committed 11.22
2.33 Goalkeeper saves 3.56
2.92 Offsides 0.78
16.75 Tackles per match 21

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AS Roma vs SC Braga prediction analysis

Review AS Roma vs SC Braga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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