Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ascoli vs Carrarese

Ascoli vs Carrarese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie B 2026-08-29 13:00
Ascoli
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Carrarese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ascoli (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Carrarese (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Carrarese
LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Ascoli averages 0 goals scored at home, while Carrarese averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Carrarese — winless run (away)3
Carrarese — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ascoli Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Carrarese Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 68%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ascoli vs Carrarese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ascoli — scored (home)0
Ascoli — conceded (home)0
Carrarese — scored (away)1.11
Carrarese — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Ascoli — BTTS matches (home)0%
Carrarese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ascoli (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Carrarese (away)

Corners for5.9
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Carrarese
12 11 16 14 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Ascoli (home)

For—

Carrarese (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.55

Ascoli

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.19
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.73

Carrarese

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.36
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.46

Shots per Game

Ascoli — total shots (home)—
Carrarese — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Ascoli — on target (home)—
Carrarese — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ascoli

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Carrarese

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box5.08

Player Shots Ascoli

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Carrarese

D. Bouah
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Bozhanaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Melegoni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
F. Abiuso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Cicconi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ascoli xG (home)-
Carrarese xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Ascoli vs Carrarese

0% Pass accuracy 79.66%
- Passes per match 398.97
- Goals prevented 0.05
- Fouls committed 13.13
- Goalkeeper saves 2.47
- Offsides 1.11
- Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ascoli vs Carrarese prediction and preview

Preview Ascoli vs Carrarese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top