Prediction Analysis: Ascoli vs Carrarese
Ascoli vs Carrarese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Ascoli
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1

Carrarese
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Ascoli (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Carrarese (Away)
Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Carrarese
LDLDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
74%
0%
+1.5
32%
0%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.
Ascoli averages 0 goals scored at home, while Carrarese averages 1.11 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
Carrarese — winless run (away)3
Carrarese — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Ascoli Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Carrarese Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
74%
0%
+1.5
32%
0%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
26%
100%
-1.5
68%
100%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Ascoli vs Carrarese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Ascoli — scored (home)0
Ascoli — conceded (home)0
Carrarese — scored (away)1.11
Carrarese — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.57
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Ascoli — BTTS matches (home)0%
Carrarese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)31.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Ascoli (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Carrarese (away)
Corners for5.9
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Carrarese
12
11
16
14
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5
Yellow Cards per Team
Ascoli (home)
For—
Carrarese (away)
For2.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.55
Ascoli
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.19
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.73
Carrarese
Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.36
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.46
Shots per Game
Ascoli — total shots (home)—
Carrarese — total shots (away)12.1
Shots on Target
Ascoli — on target (home)—
Carrarese — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Ascoli
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Carrarese
Inside the box8.24
Outside the box5.08
Player Shots Ascoli
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Player Shots Carrarese
D. Bouah
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Bozhanaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Melegoni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
F. Abiuso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Cicconi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Ascoli xG (home)-
Carrarese xG (away)1.3
Average Possession
-%
Possession
50.58%
Team Comparison Ascoli vs Carrarese
0%
Pass accuracy
79.66%
-
Passes per match
398.97
-
Goals prevented
0.05
-
Fouls committed
13.13
-
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
-
Offsides
1.11
-
Tackles per match
14.55
League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Ascoli vs Carrarese prediction and preview
Preview Ascoli vs Carrarese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights