Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ascoli vs Carrarese

Ascoli vs Carrarese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-29 13:00
Ascoli
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Carrarese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ascoli (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Carrarese (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Carrarese
LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Ascoli averages 0 goals scored at home, while Carrarese averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Carrarese — winless run (away)3
Carrarese — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ascoli Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Carrarese Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 68%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ascoli vs Carrarese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ascoli — scored (home)0
Ascoli — conceded (home)0
Carrarese — scored (away)1.11
Carrarese — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Ascoli — BTTS matches (home)0%
Carrarese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ascoli (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Carrarese (away)

Corners for5.9
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Carrarese
12 11 16 14 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Ascoli (home)

For—

Carrarese (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.55

Ascoli

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.19
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.73

Carrarese

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.36
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.46

Shots per Game

Ascoli — total shots (home)—
Carrarese — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Ascoli — on target (home)—
Carrarese — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ascoli

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Carrarese

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box5.08

Player Shots Ascoli

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Carrarese

D. Bouah
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
F. Melegoni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
K. Bozhanaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Abiuso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Cicconi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ascoli xG (home)-
Carrarese xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Ascoli vs Carrarese

0% Pass accuracy 79.66%
- Passes per match 398.97
- Goals prevented 0.05
- Fouls committed 13.13
- Goalkeeper saves 2.47
- Offsides 1.11
- Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ascoli vs Carrarese prediction analysis

Review Ascoli vs Carrarese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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