What markets are included in the Aston Villa vs Bayern München prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Aston Villa vs Bayern München prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bayern München

Aston Villa vs Bayern München prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Champions League 2024-10-02 19:00

Aston Villa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

61%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Bayern München

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

22%

23%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Aston Villa (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17

Goals conceded / match0.67

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate33%

Bayern München (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate14%

BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aston Villa

WLWWW

Bayern München

DLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 71%

67% +1.5 57%

50% +2.5 14%

17% +3.5 14%

0% +4.5 14%

33% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aston Villa averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Bayern München averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

22%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Aston Villa 1 - 0 Bayern München Home

In the last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Aston Villa — unbeaten run (home)6

Aston Villa — scoring streak (home)3

Bayern München — winless run (away)1

Bayern München — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aston Villa Win (1)55%

Draw (X)22%

Bayern München Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 71%

67% +1.5 57%

50% +2.5 14%

17% +3.5 14%

0% +4.5 14%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 29%

33% -1.5 43%

50% -2.5 86%

83% -3.5 86%

100% -4.5 86%

Aston Villa vs Bayern München — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aston Villa — scored (home)2.17

Aston Villa — conceded (home)0.67

Bayern München — scored (away)1.71

Bayern München — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Aston Villa — BTTS matches (home)33%

Bayern München — BTTS matches (away)57%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.575%

Under 8.525%

Over 9.560%

Under 9.540%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aston Villa (home)

Corners for3.5

Corners against4.7

Bayern München (away)

Corners for7.6

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aston Villa

Bayern München

7 6 20 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.585%

Under 0.515%

Over 1.568%

Under 1.532%

Over 2.561%

Under 2.539%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Aston Villa (home)

For1.6

Bayern München (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Aston Villa — total shots (home)13.8

Bayern München — total shots (away)17.3

Shots on Target

Aston Villa — on target (home)6.3

Bayern München — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.33

Outside the box4.5

Bayern München

Inside the box13.43

Outside the box7.07

Player Shots Aston Villa

Marco Asensio

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target50%

J. Ramsey

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Rogers

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target17%

Y. Tielemans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target25%

O. Watkins

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Bayern München

H. Kane

Shots on Target/Game2.1

+0.5 On Target92%

+1.5 On Target54%

L. Sané

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Musiala

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

M. Tel

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Müller

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aston Villa xG (home)1.56

Bayern München xG (away)2.44

Average Possession

47.17% Possession 64.86%

Team Comparison Aston Villa vs Bayern München

84.58% Pass accuracy 88.36%

429 Passes per match 645.57

0.26 Goals prevented -0.03

10.25 Fouls committed 9.64

4 Goalkeeper saves 1.64

1.33 Offsides 1.62

14.92 Tackles per match 16.36

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aston Villa vs Bayern München prediction analysis

Review Aston Villa vs Bayern München with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights