What markets are included in the Aston Villa vs Celtic prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Aston Villa vs Celtic prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Aston Villa vs Celtic

Aston Villa vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-01-29 20:00

Aston Villa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

28%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Celtic

Away

Prediction Summary

76%

21%

Under 2.5

72%

BTTS No

88%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Aston Villa (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17

Goals conceded / match0.67

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate33%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8

Goals conceded / match2.4

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aston Villa

WLWWW

Celtic

DLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 60%

67% +1.5 20%

50% +2.5 0%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

33% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 28%. Model confidence is High.

Aston Villa averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength

88%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

76%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Over 2.5

28%

BTTS Yes

12%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 Aston Villa 4 - 2 Celtic Home

In the last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Aston Villa — unbeaten run (home)6

Aston Villa — scoring streak (home)3

Celtic — winless run (away)5

Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aston Villa Win (1)76%

Draw (X)21%

Celtic Win (2)3%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 60%

67% +1.5 20%

50% +2.5 0%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 40%

33% -1.5 80%

50% -2.5 100%

83% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Aston Villa vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aston Villa — scored (home)2.17

Aston Villa — conceded (home)0.67

Celtic — scored (away)0.8

Celtic — conceded (away)2.4

Model expected combined goals1.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes12%

No88%

Rate per Team

Aston Villa — BTTS matches (home)33%

Celtic — BTTS matches (away)60%

Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aston Villa (home)

Corners for3.5

Corners against4.7

Celtic (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aston Villa

8 4 4 10 10

Celtic

14 11 8 14 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.572%

Under 0.528%

Over 1.545%

Under 1.555%

Over 2.545%

Under 2.555%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Aston Villa (home)

For1.6

Celtic (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Aston Villa — total shots (home)13.8

Celtic — total shots (away)6.2

Shots on Target

Aston Villa — on target (home)6.3

Celtic — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.33

Outside the box4.5

Celtic

Inside the box6.7

Outside the box2.9

Player Shots Aston Villa

Marco Asensio

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target50%

J. Ramsey

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Rogers

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target17%

Y. Tielemans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target25%

O. Watkins

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Celtic

N. Kühn

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Engels

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

K. Furuhashi

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Hatate

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Idah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aston Villa xG (home)1.56

Celtic xG (away)1.42

Average Possession

47.17% Possession 50.9%

Team Comparison Aston Villa vs Celtic

84.58% Pass accuracy 86.7%

429 Passes per match 506.8

0.26 Goals prevented 0.03

10.25 Fouls committed 9.2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3.9

1.33 Offsides 2

14.92 Tackles per match 20.2

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aston Villa vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review Aston Villa vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights