Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aston Villa vs Club Brugge KV

Aston Villa vs Club Brugge KV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-03-12 20:00
Aston Villa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Club Brugge KV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
24%
2
21%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Aston Villa (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate33%

Club Brugge KV (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aston Villa
WLWWW
Club Brugge KV
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 83%
67% +1.5 17%
50% +2.5 17%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Aston Villa averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Club Brugge KV averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 3

Mar 2025 Aston Villa 3 - 0 Club Brugge KV Home
Mar 2025 Aston Villa(A) 3 - 1 Club Brugge KV Home
Nov 2024 Aston Villa(A) 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV Away

In the last 3 meetings, Aston Villa won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Aston Villa — unbeaten run (home)6
Aston Villa — scoring streak (home)3
Club Brugge KV — winless run (away)1
Club Brugge KV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aston Villa Win (1)54%
Draw (X)24%
Club Brugge KV Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 83%
67% +1.5 17%
50% +2.5 17%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 17%
33% -1.5 83%
50% -2.5 83%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Aston Villa vs Club Brugge KV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aston Villa — scored (home)2.17
Aston Villa — conceded (home)0.67
Club Brugge KV — scored (away)1.17
Club Brugge KV — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Aston Villa — BTTS matches (home)33%
Club Brugge KV — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.583%
Under 4.517%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.567%
Under 6.533%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aston Villa (home)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.7

Club Brugge KV (away)

Corners for2.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aston Villa
8 4 4 10 10
Club Brugge KV
6 6 14 4 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.583%
Under 0.517%
Over 1.559%
Under 1.541%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Aston Villa (home)

For1.6

Club Brugge KV (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Aston Villa — total shots (home)13.8
Club Brugge KV — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Aston Villa — on target (home)6.3
Club Brugge KV — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.33
Outside the box4.5

Club Brugge KV

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.25

Player Shots Aston Villa

Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
J. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Rogers
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
Y. Tielemans
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target25%
O. Watkins
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Club Brugge KV

C. Tzolis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Skov Olsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Talbi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target9%
Ferran Jutglà
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Jashari
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aston Villa xG (home)1.56
Club Brugge KV xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

47.17% Possession 43.83%

Team Comparison Aston Villa vs Club Brugge KV

84.58% Pass accuracy 86%
429 Passes per match 458.42
0.26 Goals prevented -0.06
10.25 Fouls committed 8.67
4 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
1.33 Offsides 1
14.92 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aston Villa vs Club Brugge KV prediction analysis

Review Aston Villa vs Club Brugge KV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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