Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Aston Villa vs Juventus

Aston Villa vs Juventus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-11-27 20:00
Aston Villa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Juventus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
24%
2
18%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Aston Villa (Home)

Goals scored / match2.17
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate33%

Juventus (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Aston Villa
WLWWW
Juventus
LWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 60%
67% +1.5 20%
50% +2.5 20%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Aston Villa averages 2.17 goals scored at home, while Juventus averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
24%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Aston Villa 0 - 0 Juventus Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Aston Villa — unbeaten run (home)6
Aston Villa — scoring streak (home)3
Juventus — winless run (away)4
Juventus — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Aston Villa Win (1)58%
Draw (X)24%
Juventus Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 60%
67% +1.5 20%
50% +2.5 20%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 40%
33% -1.5 80%
50% -2.5 80%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Aston Villa vs Juventus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Aston Villa — scored (home)2.17
Aston Villa — conceded (home)0.67
Juventus — scored (away)1
Juventus — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.52

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Aston Villa — BTTS matches (home)33%
Juventus — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.519%
Under 10.581%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Aston Villa (home)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.7

Juventus (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Aston Villa
8 4 4 10 10
Juventus
8 7 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Aston Villa (home)

For1.6

Juventus (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Aston Villa — total shots (home)13.8
Juventus — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Aston Villa — on target (home)6.3
Juventus — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.33
Outside the box4.5

Juventus

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box4.1

Player Shots Aston Villa

Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
J. Ramsey
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Rogers
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
Y. Tielemans
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target25%
O. Watkins
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Juventus

N. González
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Mbangula
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. McKennie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Aston Villa xG (home)1.56
Juventus xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

47.17% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Aston Villa vs Juventus

84.58% Pass accuracy 87.3%
429 Passes per match 484.7
0.26 Goals prevented 0.27
10.25 Fouls committed 11.3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3.7
1.33 Offsides 2.5
14.92 Tackles per match 17.6

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Aston Villa vs Juventus prediction analysis

Review Aston Villa vs Juventus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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