What markets are included in the Atalanta vs AS Roma prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs AS Roma prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs AS Roma

Atalanta vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-12 18:45

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

AS Roma

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

26%

27%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate68%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

LWWWD

AS Roma

WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%

63% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Atalanta averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

26%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Atalanta(A) 1 - 1 AS Roma Draw

Jan 2026 Atalanta 1 - 0 AS Roma Home

May 2025 Atalanta 2 - 1 AS Roma Home

Dec 2024 Atalanta(A) 2 - 0 AS Roma Home

May 2024 Atalanta 2 - 1 AS Roma Home

In the last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)4

AS Roma — winless run (away)0

AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)47%

Draw (X)26%

AS Roma Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%

63% +1.5 21%

21% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%

37% -1.5 79%

79% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

89% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.89

Atalanta — conceded (home)1.26

AS Roma — scored (away)1

AS Roma — conceded (away)1.05

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)68%

AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.9

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

15 10 15 7 11

AS Roma

7 11 15 6 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.5

AS Roma (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)14.8

AS Roma — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.4

AS Roma — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05

Outside the box3.29

AS Roma

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box4.92

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target32%

M. Retegui

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target22%

S. Kolašinac

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

N. Zaniolo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots AS Roma

P. Dybala

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Dovbyk

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. Shomurodov

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Saelemaekers

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. El Shaarawy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.75

AS Roma xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

55.32% Possession 53.95%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs AS Roma

84.53% Pass accuracy 85.29%

506.58 Passes per match 492.47

0.11 Goals prevented -0.13

11.45 Fouls committed 10.66

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 3.11

1.54 Offsides 1.69

14.97 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights