What markets are included in the Atalanta vs Bologna prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs Bologna prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Bologna

Atalanta vs Bologna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-13 10:30

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Bologna

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

24%

31%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate68%

Bologna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

LWWWD

Bologna

LLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%

63% +1.5 53%

21% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Bologna averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

24%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna Away

Jan 2026 Atalanta(A) 2 - 0 Bologna Home

Apr 2025 Atalanta 2 - 0 Bologna Home

Feb 2025 Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna Away

Sep 2024 Atalanta(A) 1 - 1 Bologna Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)4

Bologna — winless run (away)4

Bologna — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)45%

Draw (X)24%

Bologna Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%

63% +1.5 53%

21% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%

37% -1.5 47%

79% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

89% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Bologna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.89

Atalanta — conceded (home)1.26

Bologna — scored (away)1.26

Bologna — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)68%

Bologna — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%

Under 4.515%

Over 5.576%

Under 5.524%

Over 6.558%

Under 6.542%

Over 7.545%

Under 7.555%

Over 8.534%

Under 8.566%

Over 9.521%

Under 9.579%

Over 10.519%

Under 10.581%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.9

Bologna (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

15 10 15 7 11

Bologna

11 13 7 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.5

Bologna (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)14.8

Bologna — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.4

Bologna — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05

Outside the box3.29

Bologna

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box4.87

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target32%

M. Retegui

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target22%

S. Kolašinac

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

N. Zaniolo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Bologna

J. Lucumí

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Orsolini

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

T. Pobega

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target14%

J. Odgaard

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target24%

B. Domínguez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.75

Bologna xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

55.32% Possession 58.58%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Bologna

84.53% Pass accuracy 83.11%

506.58 Passes per match 462.82

0.11 Goals prevented -0.21

11.45 Fouls committed 14.13

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 1.66

1.54 Offsides 1.75

14.97 Tackles per match 15.53

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Bologna prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Bologna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights