Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV

Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-02-18 20:00
Atalanta
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Club Brugge KV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
23%
2
19%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Club Brugge KV (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta
LLDWL
Club Brugge KV
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 83%
40% +1.5 17%
20% +2.5 17%
20% +3.5 0%
20% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Club Brugge KV averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
23%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 3

Sep 2025 Atalanta 2 - 1 Club Brugge KV Home
Feb 2025 Atalanta 1 - 3 Club Brugge KV Away
Feb 2025 Atalanta(A) 1 - 2 Club Brugge KV Away

In the last 3 meetings, Atalanta won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0
Atalanta — scoring streak (home)3
Club Brugge KV — winless run (away)1
Club Brugge KV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)58%
Draw (X)23%
Club Brugge KV Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 83%
40% +1.5 17%
20% +2.5 17%
20% +3.5 0%
20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 17%
60% -1.5 83%
80% -2.5 83%
80% -3.5 100%
80% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.6
Atalanta — conceded (home)1.2
Club Brugge KV — scored (away)1.17
Club Brugge KV — conceded (away)1.83
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)40%
Club Brugge KV — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for8.4
Corners against1.8

Club Brugge KV (away)

Corners for2.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta
7 13 11 6 14
Club Brugge KV
6 6 14 4 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.554%
Under 1.546%
Over 2.554%
Under 2.546%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.2

Club Brugge KV (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)21.0
Club Brugge KV — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)7.4
Club Brugge KV — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box12.7
Outside the box4.7

Club Brugge KV

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.25

Player Shots Atalanta

A. Lookman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target43%
M. Brescianini
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Cuadrado
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
L. Samardžić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Zappacosta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Club Brugge KV

C. Tzolis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Skov Olsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Talbi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target9%
Ferran Jutglà
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Jashari
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)2.49
Club Brugge KV xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

53.3% Possession 43.83%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV

85.8% Pass accuracy 86%
505.1 Passes per match 458.42
0.49 Goals prevented -0.06
10.3 Fouls committed 8.67
1.6 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
2.5 Offsides 1
13.1 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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