Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV

Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-09-30 16:45
Atalanta
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Club Brugge KV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
21%
2
34%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate83%

Club Brugge KV (Away)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match2.14
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta
LLWLL
Club Brugge KV
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 71%
67% +1.5 29%
17% +2.5 29%
17% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 0%
83% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

Atalanta averages 1.83 goals scored at home, while Club Brugge KV averages 1.43 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
21%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
71%

Head-to-Head last 3

Sep 2025 Atalanta 2 - 1 Club Brugge KV Home
Feb 2025 Atalanta 1 - 3 Club Brugge KV Away
Feb 2025 Atalanta(A) 1 - 2 Club Brugge KV Away

In the last 3 meetings, Atalanta won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0
Atalanta — scoring streak (home)4
Club Brugge KV — winless run (away)1
Club Brugge KV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)45%
Draw (X)21%
Club Brugge KV Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 71%
67% +1.5 29%
17% +2.5 29%
17% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 29%
33% -1.5 71%
83% -2.5 71%
83% -3.5 86%
100% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.83
Atalanta — conceded (home)2
Club Brugge KV — scored (away)1.43
Club Brugge KV — conceded (away)2.14
Model expected combined goals3.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes71%
No29%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)83%
Club Brugge KV — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.522%
Under 9.578%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.2

Club Brugge KV (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta
6 5 6 9 9
Club Brugge KV
6 4 14 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.3

Club Brugge KV (away)

For1.1

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)16.0
Club Brugge KV — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)4.7
Club Brugge KV — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box4.25

Club Brugge KV

Inside the box10.79
Outside the box4

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Pašalić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
C. De Ketelaere
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Scamacca
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Samardžić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Club Brugge KV

C. Tzolis
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target54%
N. Tresoldi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Stanković
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
Carlos Forbs
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
L. Reis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.84
Club Brugge KV xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

48.5% Possession 49.71%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV

83% Pass accuracy 85.71%
460.75 Passes per match 498.93
0.04 Goals prevented -0.42
10.08 Fouls committed 8.36
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2.75 Offsides 1
13.33 Tackles per match 15.57

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Club Brugge KV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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