What markets are included in the Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-30 17:00

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fiorentina

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

29%

27%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

DLWDL

Fiorentina

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 63%

42% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Atalanta(A) 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw

Nov 2025 Atalanta 2 - 0 Fiorentina Home

Mar 2025 Atalanta(A) 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away

Sep 2024 Atalanta 3 - 2 Fiorentina Home

Jun 2024 Atalanta 2 - 3 Fiorentina Away

In the last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)0

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0

Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)44%

Draw (X)29%

Fiorentina Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 63%

42% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 37%

58% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.32

Atalanta — conceded (home)0.79

Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05

Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)42%

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against3.6

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

10 8 4 7 6

Fiorentina

11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.3

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)17.1

Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.1

Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box9.79

Outside the box5

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target27%

G. Scamacca

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

C. De Ketelaere

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Parisi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.52

Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

55.13% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Fiorentina

84.05% Pass accuracy 83.89%

493.89 Passes per match 423.61

0.26 Goals prevented 0.06

11.84 Fouls committed 12.5

3.11 Goalkeeper saves 3.34

1.97 Offsides 1.94

15.61 Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights