What markets are included in the Atalanta vs Inter prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs Inter prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Inter

Atalanta vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-28 19:45

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Inter

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

25%

40%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match0.79

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

DLWDL

Inter

DDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 95%

42% +1.5 68%

11% +2.5 26%

11% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

42% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

25%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Atalanta(A) 1 - 1 Inter Draw

Dec 2025 Atalanta 0 - 1 Inter Away

Mar 2025 Atalanta 0 - 2 Inter Away

Aug 2024 Atalanta(A) 0 - 4 Inter Away

Feb 2024 Atalanta(A) 0 - 4 Inter Away

In the last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)0

Inter — winless run (away)1

Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)35%

Draw (X)25%

Inter Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 95%

42% +1.5 68%

11% +2.5 26%

11% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 5%

58% -1.5 32%

89% -2.5 74%

89% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 95%

Atalanta vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.32

Atalanta — conceded (home)0.79

Inter — scored (away)2.05

Inter — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.76

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)42%

Inter — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for6.8

Corners against3.6

Inter (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

10 8 4 7 6

Inter

10 11 6 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.3

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)17.1

Inter — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.1

Inter — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box9.79

Outside the box5

Inter

Inside the box12.24

Outside the box4.87

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target27%

G. Scamacca

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

G. Raspadori

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

C. De Ketelaere

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target40%

M. Thuram

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target24%

H. Çalhanoğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

F. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Dimarco

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.52

Inter xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

55.13% Possession 59.76%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Inter

84.05% Pass accuracy 87.37%

493.89 Passes per match 547.45

0.26 Goals prevented -0.25

11.84 Fouls committed 13.13

3.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.03

1.97 Offsides 1.65

15.61 Tackles per match 15.16

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights