What markets are included in the Atalanta vs Lazio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs Lazio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-06 16:00

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lazio

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

23%

31%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate68%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

LWWWD

Lazio

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%

63% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 16%

11% +3.5 5%

11% +4.5 5%

68% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

23%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Atalanta 1 - 1 Lazio Draw

Mar 2026 Atalanta(A) 2 - 2 Lazio Draw

Feb 2026 Atalanta(A) 2 - 0 Lazio Home

Oct 2025 Atalanta 0 - 0 Lazio Draw

Apr 2025 Atalanta 0 - 1 Lazio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)4

Lazio — winless run (away)1

Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)46%

Draw (X)23%

Lazio Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%

63% +1.5 42%

21% +2.5 16%

11% +3.5 5%

11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%

37% -1.5 58%

79% -2.5 84%

89% -3.5 95%

89% -4.5 95%

Atalanta vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.89

Atalanta — conceded (home)1.26

Lazio — scored (away)1.47

Lazio — conceded (away)1.21

Model expected combined goals3.11

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)68%

Lazio — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.9

Lazio (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

15 10 15 7 11

Lazio

6 9 6 6 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.5

Lazio (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)14.8

Lazio — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.4

Lazio — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05

Outside the box3.29

Lazio

Inside the box9.05

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target32%

M. Retegui

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target22%

S. Kolašinac

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

N. Zaniolo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target41%

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

Mario Gila

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Marušić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.75

Lazio xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

55.32% Possession 55.11%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Lazio

84.53% Pass accuracy 86.16%

506.58 Passes per match 468.58

0.11 Goals prevented 0.08

11.45 Fouls committed 11.16

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 1.92

1.54 Offsides 1.21

14.97 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights