What markets are included in the Atalanta vs Parma prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs Parma prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Parma

Atalanta vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-25 18:45

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Parma

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

24%

23%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match1.26

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate68%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

LWWWD

Parma

WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

63% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Atalanta averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

24%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Atalanta 4 - 0 Parma Home

Aug 2025 Atalanta(A) 1 - 1 Parma Draw

May 2025 Atalanta 2 - 3 Parma Away

Nov 2024 Atalanta(A) 3 - 1 Parma Home

May 2021 Atalanta(A) 5 - 2 Parma Home

In the last 5 meetings, Atalanta won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)4

Parma — winless run (away)0

Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)54%

Draw (X)24%

Parma Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

63% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

37% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

89% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.89

Atalanta — conceded (home)1.26

Parma — scored (away)1

Parma — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)68%

Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for5.7

Corners against2.9

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

15 10 15 7 11

Parma

6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.558%

Under 2.542%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.5

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)14.8

Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.4

Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box11.05

Outside the box3.29

Parma

Inside the box6.61

Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Atalanta

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target32%

M. Retegui

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target22%

S. Kolašinac

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

N. Zaniolo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Camara

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target5%

S. Sohm

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.75

Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

55.32% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Parma

84.53% Pass accuracy 79.68%

506.58 Passes per match 383

0.11 Goals prevented -0.14

11.45 Fouls committed 10.66

2.97 Goalkeeper saves 2.74

1.54 Offsides 0.82

14.97 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights