What markets are included in the Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Real Madrid

Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-12-10 20:00

Atalanta

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Real Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

25%

30%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match1.2

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Real Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29

Goals conceded / match1.57

Over 2.5 rate43%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta

LLDWL

Real Madrid

LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 43%

40% +1.5 43%

20% +2.5 43%

20% +3.5 0%

20% +4.5 0%

40% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Real Madrid averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

25%

Away Win

30%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2024 Atalanta 2 - 3 Real Madrid Away

Mar 2021 Atalanta(A) 1 - 3 Real Madrid Away

Feb 2021 Atalanta 0 - 1 Real Madrid Away

In the last 3 meetings, Atalanta won 0, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0

Atalanta — scoring streak (home)3

Real Madrid — winless run (away)2

Real Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)45%

Draw (X)25%

Real Madrid Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 43%

40% +1.5 43%

20% +2.5 43%

20% +3.5 0%

20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 57%

60% -1.5 57%

80% -2.5 57%

80% -3.5 100%

80% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Real Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.6

Atalanta — conceded (home)1.2

Real Madrid — scored (away)1.29

Real Madrid — conceded (away)1.57

Model expected combined goals2.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)40%

Real Madrid — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.552%

Under 8.548%

Over 9.552%

Under 9.548%

Over 10.552%

Under 10.548%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for8.4

Corners against1.8

Real Madrid (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta

7 13 11 6 14

Real Madrid

12 9 20 8 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%

Under 0.57%

Over 1.563%

Under 1.537%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.2

Real Madrid (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)21.0

Real Madrid — total shots (away)11.9

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)7.4

Real Madrid — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box12.7

Outside the box4.7

Real Madrid

Inside the box9.93

Outside the box5.21

Player Shots Atalanta

A. Lookman

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target43%

M. Brescianini

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Cuadrado

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

L. Samardžić

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target25%

D. Zappacosta

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Shots on Target/Game2.5

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target57%

Vinícius Júnior

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target83%

+1.5 On Target42%

Rodrygo

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Lucas Vázquez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Bellingham

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)2.49

Real Madrid xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

53.3% Possession 53.07%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Real Madrid

85.8% Pass accuracy 89.14%

505.1 Passes per match 541.79

0.49 Goals prevented 0.01

10.3 Fouls committed 11.57

1.6 Goalkeeper saves 4.29

2.5 Offsides 1.27

13.1 Tackles per match 17.57

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Real Madrid prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Real Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights