Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Slavia Praha

Atalanta vs Slavia Praha prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-10-22 19:00
Atalanta
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Slavia Praha
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
20%
2
19%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate83%

Slavia Praha (Away)

Goals scored / match0.25
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta
LLWLL
Slavia Praha
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 25%
67% +1.5 0%
17% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
83% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.83 goals scored at home, while Slavia Praha averages 0.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
20%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Atalanta 0 - 0 Slavia Praha Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0
Atalanta — scoring streak (home)4
Slavia Praha — winless run (away)4
Slavia Praha — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)61%
Draw (X)20%
Slavia Praha Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 25%
67% +1.5 0%
17% +2.5 0%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 75%
33% -1.5 100%
83% -2.5 100%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Slavia Praha — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.83
Atalanta — conceded (home)2
Slavia Praha — scored (away)0.25
Slavia Praha — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals3.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)83%
Slavia Praha — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.2

Slavia Praha (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta
6 5 6 9 9
Slavia Praha
11 7 11 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.3

Slavia Praha (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)16.0
Slavia Praha — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)4.7
Slavia Praha — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box4.25

Slavia Praha

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box4.63

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Pašalić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
C. De Ketelaere
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Scamacca
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Samardžić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Slavia Praha

L. Provod
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Chorý
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
E. Mbodji
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Schranz
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Cham
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.84
Slavia Praha xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

48.5% Possession 46.38%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Slavia Praha

83% Pass accuracy 75%
460.75 Passes per match 337.13
0.04 Goals prevented 0.41
10.08 Fouls committed 16.88
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 5.63
2.75 Offsides 3.71
13.33 Tackles per match 21.75

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Slavia Praha prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Slavia Praha with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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