Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Atalanta vs Venezia

Atalanta vs Venezia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-10-11 16:30
Atalanta
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Venezia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
26%
2
19%
+2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
42%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Atalanta (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate42%

Venezia (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Atalanta
DLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 0%
42% +1.5 0%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Atalanta averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Venezia averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
26%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Atalanta 0 - 0 Venezia Draw
Oct 2024 Atalanta(A) 2 - 0 Venezia Home
Apr 2022 Atalanta(A) 3 - 1 Venezia Home
Nov 2021 Atalanta 4 - 0 Venezia Home

In the last 4 meetings, Atalanta won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Atalanta — unbeaten run (home)0
Atalanta — scoring streak (home)0

1X2 Probability model

Atalanta Win (1)55%
Draw (X)26%
Venezia Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 0%
42% +1.5 0%
11% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 100%
58% -1.5 100%
89% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Atalanta vs Venezia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Atalanta — scored (home)1.32
Atalanta — conceded (home)0.79
Venezia — scored (away)0
Venezia — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Atalanta — BTTS matches (home)42%
Venezia — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)21%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Atalanta (home)

Corners for6.8
Corners against3.6

Venezia (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Atalanta
10 8 4 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.532%
Under 2.568%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Atalanta (home)

For1.3

Venezia (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.71

Atalanta

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.56
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.07

Venezia

Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.15
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.35

Shots per Game

Atalanta — total shots (home)17.1
Venezia — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Atalanta — on target (home)5.1
Venezia — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Atalanta

Inside the box9.79
Outside the box5

Venezia

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Atalanta

N. Krstović
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
G. Scamacca
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Raspadori
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Lookman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. De Ketelaere
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Venezia

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta xG (home)1.52
Venezia xG (away)-

Average Possession

55.13% Possession -%

Team Comparison Atalanta vs Venezia

84.05% Pass accuracy 0%
493.89 Passes per match -
0.26 Goals prevented -
11.84 Fouls committed -
3.11 Goalkeeper saves -
1.97 Offsides -
15.61 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Atalanta vs Venezia prediction analysis

Review Atalanta vs Venezia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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