What markets are included in the Athletic Club vs Alaves prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Athletic Club vs Alaves prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Alaves

Athletic Club vs Alaves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-11 16:30

Athletic Club

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Alaves

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

23%

20%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match0.68

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate47%

Alaves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club

LWWWD

Alaves

DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 42%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Alaves averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

23%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Athletic Club(A) 4 - 2 Alaves Home

Sep 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 1 Alaves Away

May 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Alaves Home

Dec 2024 Athletic Club(A) 1 - 1 Alaves Draw

Mar 2024 Athletic Club 2 - 0 Alaves Home

In the last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0

Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)0

Alaves — winless run (away)0

Alaves — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)57%

Draw (X)23%

Alaves Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 42%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 58%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Alaves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.68

Athletic Club — conceded (home)0.68

Alaves — scored (away)1.26

Alaves — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)47%

Alaves — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against3.5

Alaves (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club

10 11 7 8 8

Alaves

8 11 13 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For1.8

Alaves (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)13.5

Alaves — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)4.7

Alaves — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box8.16

Outside the box4.16

Alaves

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.61

Player Shots Athletic Club

Ander Herrera

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

De Marcos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

I. Williams

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target20%

Mikel Vesga

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target4%

Nico Williams

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Alaves

Manu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

Kike García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

Carlos Vicente

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target8%

Toni Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Carlos Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.4

Alaves xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

48.45% Possession 45.26%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Alaves

80.39% Pass accuracy 73.08%

409.08 Passes per match 341.03

0.03 Goals prevented 0

12.68 Fouls committed 16.39

2.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.79 Offsides 2.14

15.11 Tackles per match 19.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Alaves prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Alaves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights