What markets are included in the Athletic Club vs Arsenal prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Athletic Club vs Arsenal prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Arsenal

Athletic Club vs Arsenal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Champions League 2025-09-16 16:45

Athletic Club

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Arsenal

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

24%

57%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.25

Goals conceded / match1.5

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate50%

Arsenal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.88

Goals conceded / match0.5

Over 2.5 rate38%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club

LWDDL

Arsenal

DWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 50%

25% +2.5 38%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 1.25 goals scored at home, while Arsenal averages 1.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

19%

Draw

24%

Away Win

57%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 2 Arsenal Away

In the last 1 meetings, Athletic Club won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0

Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)1

Arsenal — winless run (away)2

Arsenal — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)19%

Draw (X)24%

Arsenal Win (2)57%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 50%

25% +2.5 38%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%

50% -1.5 50%

75% -2.5 62%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Arsenal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.25

Athletic Club — conceded (home)1.5

Arsenal — scored (away)1.88

Arsenal — conceded (away)0.5

Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)50%

Arsenal — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%

Under 4.518%

Over 5.575%

Under 5.525%

Over 6.569%

Under 6.531%

Over 7.557%

Under 7.543%

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against4.5

Arsenal (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club

7 7 10 7 13

Arsenal

7 11 7 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%

Under 0.512%

Over 1.575%

Under 1.525%

Over 2.569%

Under 2.531%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For2.7

Arsenal (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)12.5

Arsenal — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)2.5

Arsenal — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.25

Arsenal

Inside the box10.4

Outside the box4.07

Player Shots Athletic Club

Gorka Guruzeta

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

Nico Serrano

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Robert Navarro

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Oihan Sancet

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

A. Hierro

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Arsenal

B. Saka

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target27%

V. Gyökeres

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Nwaneri

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Gabriel Jesus

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target33%

N. Madueke

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.17

Arsenal xG (away)1.96

Average Possession

41% Possession 51.13%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Arsenal

74.63% Pass accuracy 84.33%

346.75 Passes per match 442.93

-0.44 Goals prevented 0.24

17.63 Fouls committed 11.2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.4

0.75 Offsides 1.47

21.38 Tackles per match 13.13

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Arsenal prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Arsenal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights