What markets are included in the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-12-06 20:00

Athletic Club

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Atletico Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

29%

37%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Atletico Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club

LDLLW

Atletico Madrid

LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 84%

26% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Athletic Club(A) 2 - 3 Atletico Madrid Away

Dec 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid Home

Mar 2025 Athletic Club(A) 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

Aug 2024 Athletic Club 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

Apr 2024 Athletic Club(A) 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)1

Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)1

Atletico Madrid — winless run (away)1

Atletico Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)34%

Draw (X)29%

Atletico Madrid Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 84%

26% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 16%

74% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.16

Athletic Club — conceded (home)1.11

Atletico Madrid — scored (away)1.21

Atletico Madrid — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)53%

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against3.7

Atletico Madrid (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club

11 18 17 5 3

Atletico Madrid

8 10 12 17 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For2.1

Atletico Madrid (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)15.1

Atletico Madrid — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)4.9

Atletico Madrid — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box9.42

Outside the box4.32

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.13

Outside the box3.97

Player Shots Athletic Club

Gorka Guruzeta

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target26%

I. Williams

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

Álex Berenguer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target6%

Nico Williams

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target12%

Oihan Sancet

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. González

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Simeone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.33

Atletico Madrid xG (away)1.55

Average Possession

48.61% Possession 53.32%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid

79.18% Pass accuracy 84.95%

409.42 Passes per match 505.37

0.08 Goals prevented 0.13

13.63 Fouls committed 11.18

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.41 Offsides 2.19

15.05 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights