Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Criciuma

Athletic Club vs Criciuma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-09 14:00
Athletic Club
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
23%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Criciuma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
34%
2
30%
Under 2.5
77%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Criciuma (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club
WDDLW
Criciuma
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

Athletic Club averages 1 goals scored at home, while Criciuma averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
34%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS Yes
32%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 1 Criciuma Draw
Apr 2025 Athletic Club(A) 0 - 4 Criciuma Away

In the last 2 meetings, Athletic Club won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)1
Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)1
Criciuma — winless run (away)0
Criciuma — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)35%
Draw (X)34%
Criciuma Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 0%
67% -1.5 50%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Criciuma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1
Athletic Club — conceded (home)0.67
Criciuma — scored (away)1.5
Criciuma — conceded (away)0.5
Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%
No68%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)33%
Criciuma — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)41.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against4.0

Criciuma (away)

Corners for7.0
Corners against7.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club
10 11 9 9 7
Criciuma
4 9 6 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For0.5

Criciuma (away)

For1.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.62

Athletic Club

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.70
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.50

Criciuma

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.92
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.40

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)19.0
Criciuma — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)6.5
Criciuma — on target (away)1.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box6.4
Outside the box7

Criciuma

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box6.25

Player Shots Athletic Club

Jota
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Luiz Fernando
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ian Luccas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Kauan
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Criciuma

Waguininho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Otero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Fellipe Mateus
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Alves
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Willean Lepo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)0.66
Criciuma xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

45.4% Possession 49.2%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Criciuma

80.5% Pass accuracy 75%
317.4 Passes per match 322.25
-0.15 Goals prevented 0.07
12.6 Fouls committed 13.8
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.6
2.33 Offsides 3.4
16.8 Tackles per match 14

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Criciuma prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Criciuma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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