Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Espanyol

Athletic Club vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
La Liga 2024-10-19 12:00
Athletic Club
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Espanyol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
28%
2
14%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club
LWWWD
Espanyol
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Athletic Club averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
28%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
30%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Athletic Club(A) 0 - 2 Espanyol Away
Dec 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 2 Espanyol Away
Feb 2025 Athletic Club(A) 1 - 1 Espanyol Draw
Oct 2024 Athletic Club 4 - 1 Espanyol Home
Apr 2023 Athletic Club(A) 2 - 1 Espanyol Home

In the last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0
Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)0
Espanyol — winless run (away)4
Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)57%
Draw (X)28%
Espanyol Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 84%
74% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.68
Athletic Club — conceded (home)0.68
Espanyol — scored (away)0.89
Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals1.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%
No70%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)47%
Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.5

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club
10 11 7 8 8
Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For1.8

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)13.5
Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)4.7
Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box8.16
Outside the box4.16

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Athletic Club

Ander Herrera
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
De Marcos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
I. Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mikel Vesga
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.4
Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

48.45% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Espanyol

80.39% Pass accuracy 76.58%
409.08 Passes per match 328.29
0.03 Goals prevented -0.04
12.68 Fouls committed 13.11
2.24 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
1.79 Offsides 1.74
15.11 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top