What markets are included in the Athletic Club vs Girona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Athletic Club vs Girona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Girona

Athletic Club vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-09-23 17:00

Athletic Club

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Girona

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

27%

26%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club

LDLLW

Girona

DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%

26% +1.5 21%

11% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Athletic Club(A) 0 - 3 Girona Away

Sep 2025 Athletic Club 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Feb 2025 Athletic Club 3 - 0 Girona Home

Oct 2024 Athletic Club(A) 1 - 2 Girona Away

Feb 2024 Athletic Club 3 - 2 Girona Home

In the last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)1

Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)1

Girona — winless run (away)9

Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)47%

Draw (X)27%

Girona Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%

26% +1.5 21%

11% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%

74% -1.5 79%

89% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.16

Athletic Club — conceded (home)1.11

Girona — scored (away)0.95

Girona — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)53%

Girona — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for6.3

Corners against3.7

Girona (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club

11 18 17 5 3

Girona

7 14 9 17 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For2.1

Girona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)15.1

Girona — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)4.9

Girona — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box9.42

Outside the box4.32

Girona

Inside the box7.24

Outside the box3.95

Player Shots Athletic Club

Gorka Guruzeta

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target26%

I. Williams

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

Álex Berenguer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target6%

Nico Williams

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target12%

Oihan Sancet

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Vanat

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

V. Tsygankov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Stuani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

Joel Roca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.33

Girona xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

48.61% Possession 50.63%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Girona

79.18% Pass accuracy 85.03%

409.42 Passes per match 467.16

0.08 Goals prevented 0.22

13.63 Fouls committed 10.74

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.35

1.41 Offsides 1.95

15.05 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights