Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Plzen

Athletic Club vs Plzen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-01-30 20:00
Athletic Club
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Plzen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
24%
2
22%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate29%

Plzen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club
LLWDW
Plzen
DLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 88%
71% +1.5 50%
43% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Athletic Club averages 2 goals scored at home, while Plzen averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
24%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 Athletic Club 3 - 1 Plzen Home

In the last 1 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0
Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)0
Plzen — winless run (away)3
Plzen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)54%
Draw (X)24%
Plzen Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 88%
71% +1.5 50%
43% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 12%
29% -1.5 50%
57% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Plzen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)2
Athletic Club — conceded (home)0.71
Plzen — scored (away)1.5
Plzen — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)29%
Plzen — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)52%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.527%
Under 9.573%
Over 10.520%
Under 10.580%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against2.9

Plzen (away)

Corners for2.7
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club
11 11 9 9 2
Plzen
8 16 9 9 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For1.7

Plzen (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)16.3
Plzen — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)5.6
Plzen — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box4.93

Plzen

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box5.17

Player Shots Athletic Club

Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Yuri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Oihan Sancet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Gorka Guruzeta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
Álex Berenguer
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Plzen

P. Adu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Jirka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Durosinmi
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Vydra
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
P. Šulc
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.44
Plzen xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

52.57% Possession 40.83%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Plzen

81.71% Pass accuracy 71.83%
454.43 Passes per match 347.08
-0.3 Goals prevented -0.01
14.57 Fouls committed 12
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.46
0.79 Offsides 2.31
16.86 Tackles per match 19.92

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Plzen prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Plzen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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