What markets are included in the Athletic Club vs Qarabag prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Athletic Club vs Qarabag prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Qarabag

Athletic Club vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-10-22 16:45

Athletic Club

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Qarabag

Away

Prediction Summary

18%

21%

61%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.25

Goals conceded / match1.5

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate50%

Qarabag (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match2.13

Over 2.5 rate38%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club

LWDDL

Qarabag

LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 50%

25% +2.5 38%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 1.25 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

18%

Draw

21%

Away Win

61%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Athletic Club 3 - 1 Qarabag Home

In the last 1 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0

Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)1

Qarabag — winless run (away)4

Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)18%

Draw (X)21%

Qarabag Win (2)61%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 50%

25% +2.5 38%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 25%

50% -1.5 50%

75% -2.5 62%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.25

Athletic Club — conceded (home)1.5

Qarabag — scored (away)1.63

Qarabag — conceded (away)2.13

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)50%

Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.579%

Under 9.521%

Over 10.559%

Under 10.541%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.0

Corners against4.5

Qarabag (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against8.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club

7 7 10 7 13

Qarabag

10 8 15 14 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.571%

Under 0.529%

Over 1.554%

Under 1.546%

Over 2.554%

Under 2.546%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For2.7

Qarabag (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)12.5

Qarabag — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)2.5

Qarabag — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box6.38

Outside the box4.25

Qarabag

Inside the box6.25

Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Athletic Club

Gorka Guruzeta

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

Nico Serrano

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Robert Navarro

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Oihan Sancet

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

A. Hierro

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Qarabag

C. Durán

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

Leandro Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target0%

O. Kashchuk

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

E. Addai

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Joni Montiel

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.17

Qarabag xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

41% Possession 45.25%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Qarabag

74.63% Pass accuracy 80.33%

346.75 Passes per match 389.08

-0.44 Goals prevented -0.34

17.63 Fouls committed 7.17

3 Goalkeeper saves 4.08

0.75 Offsides 1.25

21.38 Tackles per match 14.58

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Qarabag prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights