Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Rangers

Athletic Club vs Rangers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Europa League 2025-04-17 19:00
Athletic Club
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Rangers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
24%
2
29%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate29%

Rangers (Away)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club
LLWDW
Rangers
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 83%
71% +1.5 50%
43% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 17%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 2 goals scored at home, while Rangers averages 1.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
24%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2025 Athletic Club 2 - 0 Rangers Home
Apr 2025 Athletic Club(A) 0 - 0 Rangers Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Athletic Club won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0
Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)0
Rangers — winless run (away)1
Rangers — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
Rangers Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 83%
71% +1.5 50%
43% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 17%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 17%
29% -1.5 50%
57% -2.5 67%
100% -3.5 83%
100% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Rangers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)2
Athletic Club — conceded (home)0.71
Rangers — scored (away)1.83
Rangers — conceded (away)1.17
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)29%
Rangers — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.593%
Under 7.57%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.531%
Under 9.569%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against2.9

Rangers (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club
11 11 9 9 2
Rangers
7 14 6 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For1.7

Rangers (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)16.3
Rangers — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)5.6
Rangers — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box4.93

Rangers

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.33

Player Shots Athletic Club

Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Yuri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Oihan Sancet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Gorka Guruzeta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
Álex Berenguer
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Rangers

V. Černý
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Lawrence
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Dessers
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
H. Igamane
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Yılmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.44
Rangers xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

52.57% Possession 41.08%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Rangers

81.71% Pass accuracy 76.17%
454.43 Passes per match 374.83
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.08
14.57 Fouls committed 13.17
2 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
0.79 Offsides 1.83
16.86 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Rangers prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Rangers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top