Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Real Betis

Athletic Club vs Real Betis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-03 20:00
Athletic Club
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Real Betis
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
28%
2
20%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Athletic Club (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.68
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Real Betis (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Athletic Club
LWWWD
Real Betis
DLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Athletic Club averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Real Betis averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
28%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Athletic Club 2 - 1 Real Betis Home
Aug 2025 Athletic Club(A) 2 - 1 Real Betis Home
Feb 2025 Athletic Club(A) 2 - 2 Real Betis Draw
Nov 2024 Athletic Club 1 - 1 Real Betis Draw
Feb 2024 Athletic Club(A) 1 - 3 Real Betis Away

In the last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)0
Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)0
Real Betis — winless run (away)2
Real Betis — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Athletic Club Win (1)51%
Draw (X)28%
Real Betis Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%
63% -1.5 53%
74% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Athletic Club vs Real Betis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Athletic Club — scored (home)1.68
Athletic Club — conceded (home)0.68
Real Betis — scored (away)1.32
Real Betis — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)47%
Real Betis — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Athletic Club (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.5

Real Betis (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Athletic Club
10 11 7 8 8
Real Betis
10 13 17 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Athletic Club (home)

For1.8

Real Betis (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Athletic Club — total shots (home)13.5
Real Betis — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — on target (home)4.7
Real Betis — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Athletic Club

Inside the box8.16
Outside the box4.16

Real Betis

Inside the box8.92
Outside the box4.97

Player Shots Athletic Club

Ander Herrera
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
De Marcos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
I. Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mikel Vesga
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Real Betis

G. Lo Celso
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target28%
Vitor Roque
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Ávila
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Antony
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target24%
A. Ezzalzouli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic Club xG (home)1.4
Real Betis xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

48.45% Possession 52.53%

Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Real Betis

80.39% Pass accuracy 82.97%
409.08 Passes per match 464.34
0.03 Goals prevented 0.03
12.68 Fouls committed 11.39
2.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.79 Offsides 1.56
15.11 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Athletic Club vs Real Betis prediction analysis

Review Athletic Club vs Real Betis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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