Prediction Analysis: Athletic Club vs Sevilla
Athletic Club vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
La Liga
2026-08-22
15:00
Athletic Club
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sevilla
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
26%
2
29%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Athletic Club (Home)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Sevilla (Away)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%
Team Form last 5 matches
Athletic Club
LDLLW
Sevilla
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
74%
+0.5
74%
26%
+1.5
37%
11%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
58%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.
Athletic Club averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.16 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Athletic Club(A)
1 - 2
Sevilla
Away
Aug 2025
Athletic Club
3 - 2
Sevilla
Home
Mar 2025
Athletic Club(A)
1 - 0
Sevilla
Home
Sep 2024
Athletic Club
1 - 1
Sevilla
Draw
May 2024
Athletic Club
2 - 0
Sevilla
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Athletic Club won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Athletic Club — unbeaten run (home)1
Athletic Club — scoring streak (home)1
Sevilla — winless run (away)1
Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Athletic Club Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Sevilla Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
74%
+0.5
74%
26%
+1.5
37%
11%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
26%
-0.5
26%
74%
-1.5
63%
89%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Athletic Club vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Athletic Club — scored (home)1.16
Athletic Club — conceded (home)1.11
Sevilla — scored (away)1.16
Sevilla — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.63
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Athletic Club — BTTS matches (home)53%
Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Athletic Club (home)
Corners for6.3
Corners against3.7
Sevilla (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Athletic Club
11
18
17
5
3
Sevilla
6
10
10
8
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Athletic Club (home)
For2.1
Sevilla (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.563%
Under 19.537%
Over 22.549%
Under 22.551%
Over 25.535%
Under 25.565%
Expected total shots23.05
Athletic Club
Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.35
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.82
Sevilla
Shots Over 9.548%
Shots Over 11.530%
Shots Over 13.518%
Expected shots9.70
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.35
Shots per Game
Athletic Club — total shots (home)15.1
Sevilla — total shots (away)10.9
Shots on Target
Athletic Club — on target (home)4.9
Sevilla — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Athletic Club
Inside the box9.42
Outside the box4.32
Sevilla
Inside the box7.18
Outside the box4.32
Player Shots Athletic Club
Gorka Guruzeta
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
I. Williams
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Álex Berenguer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target6%
Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target12%
Oihan Sancet
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Sevilla
A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target22%
Alfon González
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
N. Maupay
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
Isaac
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%
Oso
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club xG (home)1.33
Sevilla xG (away)1.03
Average Possession
48.61%
Possession
50.92%
Team Comparison Athletic Club vs Sevilla
79.18%
Pass accuracy
80%
409.42
Passes per match
405.13
0.08
Goals prevented
0.02
13.63
Fouls committed
14.76
2.74
Goalkeeper saves
2.63
1.41
Offsides
2.76
15.05
Tackles per match
18.08
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Athletic Club vs Sevilla prediction analysis
Review Athletic Club vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights