Prediction Analysis: Atlante FC vs Toluca
Atlante FC vs Toluca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Atlante FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1

Toluca
Away
Prediction Summary
1
29%
X
29%
2
42%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Atlante FC (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Toluca (Away)
Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate36%
Team Form last 5 matches
Atlante FC
DL
Toluca
LWLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
59%
0%
+1.5
45%
0%
+2.5
32%
0%
+3.5
9%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
36%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
Atlante FC averages 1 goals scored at home, while Toluca averages 1.45 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
29%
Draw
29%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
Atlante FC — unbeaten run (home)1
Atlante FC — scoring streak (home)1
Toluca — winless run (away)0
Toluca — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Atlante FC Win (1)29%
Draw (X)29%
Toluca Win (2)42%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
59%
0%
+1.5
45%
0%
+2.5
32%
0%
+3.5
9%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
41%
100%
-1.5
55%
100%
-2.5
68%
100%
-3.5
91%
100%
-4.5
100%
Atlante FC vs Toluca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Atlante FC — scored (home)1
Atlante FC — conceded (home)1
Toluca — scored (away)1.45
Toluca — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals2.2
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Atlante FC — BTTS matches (home)100%
Toluca — BTTS matches (away)36%
Combined (simple average)68%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Atlante FC (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Toluca (away)
Corners for5.8
Corners against4.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Atlante FC
10
Toluca
9
14
7
10
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.596%
Under 2.54%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Atlante FC (home)
For—
Toluca (away)
For2.3
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.39
Atlante FC
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.16
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.64
Toluca
Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.23
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.66
Shots per Game
Atlante FC — total shots (home)—
Toluca — total shots (away)15.6
Shots on Target
Atlante FC — on target (home)—
Toluca — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Atlante FC
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Toluca
Inside the box9.79
Outside the box7.62
Player Shots Atlante FC
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Player Shots Toluca
M. Isaís
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
Paulinho
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target41%
J. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
N. Castro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
O. Virgen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlante FC xG (home)-
Toluca xG (away)1.77
Average Possession
-%
Possession
56.98%
Team Comparison Atlante FC vs Toluca
0%
Pass accuracy
84.81%
-
Passes per match
473.93
-
Goals prevented
-0.3
-
Fouls committed
13.1
-
Goalkeeper saves
2.64
-
Offsides
1.98
-
Tackles per match
15.91
League average xG this season is 1.32 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Atlante FC vs Toluca prediction analysis
Review Atlante FC vs Toluca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights